Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Mar 25, 2021 at 7pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino
Progreso0 - 2Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Penarol.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 47.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Progreso | Draw | Penarol |
| 24.75% | 27.33% | 47.92% |
| Both teams to score 44.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
