Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.