Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
