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Cerro Largo logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jul 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
0 - 0
Nacional


Alvarez (41'), Max (51'), Morales (75'), Bentaberry (81')
FT

Marichal (70'), Rodriguez (87')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerrito 0-2 Cerro Largo
Monday, July 11 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Plaza Colonia
Sunday, July 10 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.71%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 26.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawNacional
26.08% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 27.21% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 46.71% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.39% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (-0.119 -0.12)58.25% (0.118 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (-0.093 -0.09)78.89% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.82% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)38.17% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.06% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)74.93% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.04% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)24.96% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.4% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)59.6% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 26.08%
    Nacional 46.71%
    Draw 27.2%
Cerro LargoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 9.17% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.13% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 1.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 26.08%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.53% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 13.22% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 9.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.25% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 4.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 46.71%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 12am
Cerro Largo
0-2
Nacional

Martinez (19'), Max (60'), Correa (90')
Monzeglio (35', 49')
Castro (38'), Marichal (53'), Lozano (85'), Fagundez (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 10.30pm
Cerro Largo
1-1
Nacional
Otormin (24')
Ferreira (56'), Di Yorio (65'), Paiva (70')
Ferreira (88')
Risso (19')
Garcia (45'), Gabrielli (72')
Risso (23')
Jun 3, 2021 12.30am
Nacional
1-2
Cerro Largo
May (76')
Gabrielli (13')
Gabrielli (19')
Otormin (41'), Beltran (65')
Estol (28'), Rodriguez (58'), Cayetano (84')
Rodriguez (69')
Jan 20, 2021 10.30pm
Feb 22, 2020 11pm
Nacional
2-2
Cerro Largo
Yacob (90'), Bergessio (90')
Yacob (58'), Suarez (69'), Mendez (90'), Mejia (90')
Fernandez (44'), Dorrego (75')
Jorge (17'), Aguerre (45')
Aguerre (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1PenarolPenarol107211831523
2NacionalNacional107212181323
3Boston RiverBoston River10712169722
4DanubioDanubio10541114719
5Racing de MontevideoRacing10451117417
6Rampla JuniorsRampla104331111015
7Defensor SportingDefensor103431312113
8Miramar Misiones10343811-313
9FenixFenix104151014-413
10Montevideo WanderersWanderers103341213-112
11River PlateRiver Plate103251117-611
12LiverpoolLiverpool10244911-210
13Cerro Largo10235510-59
14CerroCerro10235816-89
15ProgresoProgreso10136512-76
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado10028516-112
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


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