Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for FC Lviv had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest FC Lviv win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.
