Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.