We said: Besiktas 1-1 Galatasaray
Despite having the best away record in the division, Galatasaray may have their work cut out for them here against a defensively-strong Besiktas side that have only conceded one goal in their last five games.
Galatasaray certainly have the firepower to win this match, but we think the Black Eagles will be resilient enough to earn themselves a point.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.