Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 4pm UK
Vodafone Park (Istanbul)
Besiktas1 - 3Fenerbahce
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ankaragucu 1-1 Besiktas
Sunday, December 3 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Sunday, December 3 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-1 Sivasspor
Monday, December 4 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Monday, December 4 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
We said: Besiktas 1-2 Fenerbahce
Besiktas have a solid home record so far, but this will be the toughest test yet in front of their fans. Fenerbahce are high on confidence at the moment and will have a feeling that this is the best time to stop their winless run at Besiktas. We are backing the league leaders to edge this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
Result | ||
Besiktas | Draw | Fenerbahce |
34.04% ( 0.08) | 24.43% ( -0.04) | 41.53% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 59.36% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.61% ( 0.2) | 43.39% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.22% ( 0.2) | 65.78% ( -0.2) |
Besiktas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.14% ( 0.15) | 24.87% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.53% ( 0.2) | 59.47% ( -0.2) |
Fenerbahce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.01% ( 0.07) | 20.99% ( -0.07) |