Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cagliari in this match.
Result | ||
SPAL | Draw | Cagliari |
33.86% | 25.92% | 40.22% |
Both teams to score 54.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.89% | 50.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.92% | 72.08% |
SPAL Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.81% | 28.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.11% | 63.89% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.43% | 24.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.94% | 59.06% |
Score Analysis |
SPAL | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 8.77% 2-1 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.86% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 9.72% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-2 @ 6.82% 1-3 @ 4.04% 0-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 54 |
2 | Inter Milan | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 56 | 19 | 37 | 51 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 47 |
4 | Lazio | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 42 |
5 | Juventus | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 40 |
6 | Fiorentina | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 39 |
7 | Bologna | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 37 |
8 | AC Milan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 35 |
9 | Roma | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 31 |
10 | Udinese | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 29 |
11 | Torino | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
12 | Genoa | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 26 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 23 |
14 | Lecce | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 23 |
15 | Como | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 22 |
16 | Empoli | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 21 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 21 |
18 | Parma | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 23 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |