Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | AC Milan | 37 | 35 | 83 |
2 | Inter Milan | 37 | 49 | 81 |
3 | Napoli | 37 | 40 | 76 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Spezia | 37 | -27 | 36 |
17 | Salernitana | 37 | -41 | 31 |
18 | Cagliari | 37 | -34 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 80.28%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 6.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.62%) and 1-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
80.28% | 13.18% | 6.55% |
Both teams to score 43.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.98% | 36.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.87% | 58.13% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.01% | 6.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.4% | 25.6% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.07% | 52.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.39% | 86.61% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 13.1% 3-0 @ 11.62% 1-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 8.34% 4-0 @ 7.73% 3-1 @ 7.39% 4-1 @ 4.92% 5-0 @ 4.11% 5-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.35% 6-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.56% 6-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.7% Total : 80.28% | 1-1 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 3.7% 2-2 @ 2.65% Other @ 0.56% Total : 13.18% | 0-1 @ 2.36% 1-2 @ 1.99% Other @ 2.2% Total : 6.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |