Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 66.83%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Dundee had a probability of 14.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Dundee win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Dundee |
66.83% ( 0.35) | 18.53% ( -0.24) | 14.64% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 55.77% ( 0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.08% ( 0.91) | 36.92% ( -0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.9% ( 0.98) | 59.1% ( -0.98) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.78% ( 0.34) | 10.22% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.48% ( 0.77) | 33.52% ( -0.77) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.12% ( 0.43) | 37.88% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.35% ( 0.42) | 74.65% ( -0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Dundee |
2-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.94% Total : 66.82% | 1-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.53% | 1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |