Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
