Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Arbroath3 - 0Montrose
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Arbroath and Montrose.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Forfar 3-1 Arbroath
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Cowdenbeath 1-1 Montrose (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Montrose |
48.12% ( 0.01) | 24.44% ( 0.05) | 27.44% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.79% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.49% ( -0.23) | 46.51% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.21% ( -0.22) | 68.79% ( 0.22) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.6% ( -0.08) | 19.4% ( 0.09) |