MX23RW : Thursday, June 20 23:19:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2024 at 7pm UK
KSU Soccer Stadium

Al-Nassr
4 - 2
Al Ittihad

Ronaldo (45+3', 69'), Ghareeb (78' pen.), Al Nemer (90+5')
Mane (3'), Al Amri (90+5'), Al Amri (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Al-Shamrani (89'), Fabinho (90+2')
Al Menhali (51')
Al Menhali (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Riyadh 2-2 Al-Nassr
Thursday, May 23 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 4-1 Damac
Thursday, May 23 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Al Ittihad

Al Ittihad are limping across the line and are likely ready to turn the page on what has been a very poor title defence. However, they are facing an Al-Nassr side that need a big performance after a lackluster showing last week. Luis Castro will be demanding improvement here and we feel the Knights of Najd will respond with a commanding final-day victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 56.25%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Ittihad
56.25% (0.558 0.56) 19.86% (0.147 0.15) 23.89% (-0.714 -0.71)
Both teams to score 68.72% (-1.497 -1.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.98% (-1.548 -1.55)28.02% (1.54 1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.23% (-1.947 -1.95)48.76% (1.939 1.94)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.78% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)10.21% (0.3481 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.48% (-0.81099999999999 -0.81)33.52% (0.803 0.8)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (-1.365 -1.37)23.46% (1.357 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.52% (-2.017 -2.02)57.47% (2.007 2.01)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 56.26%
    Al Ittihad 23.89%
    Draw 19.86%
Al-NassrDrawAl Ittihad
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.213 0.21)
3-1 @ 6.88% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.24% (0.387 0.39)
1-0 @ 5.47% (0.417 0.42)
3-2 @ 4.98% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-0 @ 4.74% (0.227 0.23)
4-1 @ 3.92% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.84% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.09 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.79% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.37% (-0.125 -0.13)
5-2 @ 1.3% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 56.26%
1-1 @ 7.93% (0.303 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 2.41% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-0 @ 2.4% (0.216 0.22)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 19.86%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.47% (0.183 0.18)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 23.89%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Ittihad

Al-Nassr
82.4%
Draw
5.9%
Al Ittihad
11.8%
34
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 17
Al Ittihad
2-5
Al-Nassr
Hamdallah (14', 51')
Al-Ghamdi (28'), Kante (40'), Hamdallah (47'), Fabinho (60')
Fabinho (66')
Ronaldo (19' pen., 68'), Talisca (38'), Mane (75', 82')
Castro (29'), Fofana (30'), Telles (45+11'), Laporte (47'), Alawjami (70')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
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Monday, June 24
 
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Tuesday, June 25
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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