MX23RW : Monday, January 27 18:01:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

Al-Ahli
1 - 0
Al Ittihad

Albirakan (34')
Al-Asmari (6'), Majrashi (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Al-Amri (79'), Al-Sagour (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Ettifaq 2-2 Al-Ahli
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 3-1 Al Fayha
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ahli 1-1 Al Ittihad

There is little to pick between the sides heading into Monday's contest, which could easily head either way. We can see both teams matching each other over the course of the 90 minutes to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al-Ahli in this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Ittihad
44.02% (0.503 0.5) 25.25% (-0.134 -0.13) 30.73% (-0.368 -0.37)
Both teams to score 55.24% (0.271 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8% (0.433 0.43)48.2% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.64% (0.397 0.4)70.35% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (0.41800000000001 0.42)21.88% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.87% (0.631 0.63)55.13% (-0.629 -0.63)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)29.29% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)65.25% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 44.02%
    Al Ittihad 30.73%
    Draw 25.24%
Al-AhliDrawAl Ittihad
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.02%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.83% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.73%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Ittihad

Al-Ahli
57.9%
Draw
26.3%
Al Ittihad
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Al Ittihad
0-1
Al-Ahli

Fabinho (35'), Coronado (75')
Kessie (31')
Jaissle (36'), Mendy (61'), Mahrez (70'), Veiga (86'), Aljohani (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal16141152153743
2Al Ittihad17141240142643
3Al-Nassr17105235161935
4Al Quadisiya16111424111334
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli17102530151532
6Al ShababAl Shabab179262518729
7Al Khaleej178272423126
8Al Riyadh177462025-525
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun176561816223
10Damac176382529-421
11Al Kholood175482129-819
12Al Ettifaq175481927-819
13Al Okhdood1743102126-515
14Al Fayha173681427-1315
15Al RaedAl Raed1742112030-1014
16Al Orubah1742111135-2414
17Al WahdaAl Wahda1734102241-1913
18Al Fateh1723121539-249


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!