Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 50.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
