Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Rostov win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
