Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.