Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 57.08%. A win for Al Mu'aidar had a probability of 21.66% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Al Mu'aidar win was 1-2 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Wakrah would win this match.