Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 25, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Estádio do Restelo
Belenenses2 - 0Tondela
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belenenses would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Tondela |
| 39.36% | 28.14% | 32.5% |
| Both teams to score 46.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
