Premier League | Gameweek 35
May 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
City Ground
Nott'm Forest4 - 3Southampton
FT(HT: 3-1)
The Match
Match Report
Nottingham Forest move up to 16th place with a 4-3 victory against Southampton after a nervy finish at the City Ground.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brentford 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 3-1 Southampton
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Southampton |
42.86% ( -0.34) | 27.06% ( 0.14) | 30.08% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 49.25% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.2% ( -0.47) | 55.8% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.07% ( -0.38) | 76.92% ( 0.38) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.22% ( -0.39) | 25.77% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.28% ( -0.52) | 60.72% ( 0.52) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.35% ( -0.1) | 33.64% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.7% ( -0.11) | 70.29% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest 42.85%
Southampton 30.08%
Draw 27.05%
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Southampton |
| 1-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.85% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.08% |
How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Southampton
Nottingham Forest
70.5%Draw
15.5%Southampton
14.0%129
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2023 7.30pm
Jan 14, 2012 3pm
Sep 10, 2011 3pm
May 3, 2009 3pm
Form Guide
