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The Match

Match Report

Danny Welbeck squandered Brighton's best chance on his full debut, while Matthew Lowton hit the bar for Burnley.

Team News

The Frenchman was omitted for last week's defeat at Tottenham after a disciplinary issue.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Burnley, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBurnley
41.86%28.24%29.91%
Both teams to score 45.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.91%60.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.7%80.3%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.69%28.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.96%64.04%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.95%36.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.16%72.84%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 41.85%
    Burnley 29.9%
    Draw 28.24%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 12.88%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 8.13%
3-1 @ 3.49%
3-0 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 1.78%
4-1 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 41.85%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 10.21%
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.24%
0-1 @ 10.41%
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 5.31%
1-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 29.9%

Head to Head
Jul 26, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 38
Burnley
1-2
Brighton
Wood (44')
Brownhill (5'), Bardsley (85'), Pieters (90+4')
Bissouma (20'), Connolly (50')
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Feb 9, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Brighton
1-3
Burnley
Duffy (76')
Ryan (72')
Wood (26', 61'), Barnes (74' pen.)
Westwood (76')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Burnley
1-0
Brighton
Tarkowski (40')
Tarkowski (86'), Bardsley (90')
Apr 28, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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