Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
44.07% ( -0) | 26.04% ( -0.03) | 29.9% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.27% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.13% ( 0.11) | 51.87% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% ( 0.1) | 73.63% ( -0.1) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.57% ( 0.05) | 23.43% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.57% ( 0.07) | 57.43% ( -0.07) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.26% ( 0.08) | 31.74% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.84% ( 0.09) | 68.16% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 45 |
2 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Arsenal | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
4 | Chelsea | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 35 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 31 |
6 | Bournemouth | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 30 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 29 |
8 | Fulham | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 29 |
9 | Aston Villa | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 28 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 26 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 24 |
12 | Brentford | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 24 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 23 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Everton | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 16 |
18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 14 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 33 | -17 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 19 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 39 | -27 | 6 |
> Premier League Full Table |