Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading Under-23s win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-23s had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.81%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Reading Under-23s in this match.
