Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Women's Football | Quarter-Finals

Jul 30, 2021 at 12pm UK

Nissan Stadium

N'lands Women
2 - 2
USA Women

Miedema (18', 54')
van de Donk (90+4')

FT
(aet)

Mewis (28'), Williams (31')
Horan (77'), O'Hara (115')

USA Women win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Olympic Games Women's Football clash between Netherlands Women and USA Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Women win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for USA Women had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.22%) and 3-2 (4.78%). The likeliest USA Women win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.05%).

Result
Netherlands Women	Draw	USA Women
42.18%	21.23%	36.59%

Both teams to score 72.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.2%

26.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.76%

47.24%

Netherlands Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.1%

13.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.68%

41.32%

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.99%

16.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.65%

45.35%

Score Analysis

Netherlands Women 42.18%

USA Women 36.59%

Draw 21.23%

Netherlands Women	Draw	USA Women
2-1 @ 7.94% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-2 @ 4.78% 1-0 @ 4.39% 2-0 @ 4.33% 3-0 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.58% 4-2 @ 2.36% 4-3 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 1.02% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.93% Total : 42.18%	1-1 @ 8.05% 2-2 @ 7.27% 3-3 @ 2.92% 0-0 @ 2.23% Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.23%	1-2 @ 7.37% 1-3 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 4.44% 0-1 @ 4.08% 0-2 @ 3.73% 0-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 2.06% 2-4 @ 2.03% 3-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.72% Total : 36.59%