Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 21, 2021 at 9.30am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium
Sweden Women3 - 0USA Women
Blackstenius (25', 55'), Hurtig (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Sweden Women had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Sweden Women win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sweden Women | Draw | USA Women |
| 29.16% | 23.13% | 47.7% |
| Both teams to score 61.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
