MX23RW : Thursday, December 26 21:56:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Shamrock Park

Portadown
3 - 1
Carrick

Friel (14', 86'), Archer (32')
Friel (64'), Rodgers (90+3'), McKeown (90+2'), Barr (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tilney (59')
Gawne (90+3')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portadown 0-1 Newry City AFC
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-0 Dungannon
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portadown would win this match.

Result
PortadownDrawCarrick Rangers
38.63% (0.232 0.23) 25.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 35.41% (-0.217 -0.22)
Both teams to score 54.31% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.96% (0.024999999999999 0.02)50.04% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (0.022000000000002 0.02)72.02% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61% (0.14 0.14)25.39% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.81% (0.189 0.19)60.19% (-0.18 -0.18)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79% (-0.114 -0.11)27.22% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.37% (-0.155 -0.16)62.63% (0.162 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Portadown 38.63%
    Carrick Rangers 35.41%
    Draw 25.95%
PortadownDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.49% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.63%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.85% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.41%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Portadown
1-3
Carrick
Russell (24')
Wilson (64')
McGuckin (13'), Macuilaitis (54', 72')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Carrick
2-0
Portadown
Anderson (60'), Stewart (81')

Archer (74')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
2-0
Portadown
Stewart (45+1'), McGuckin (55')

McNally (10')
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Portadown
0-5
Carrick

(68')
Carson (19', 34'), Cushley (44'), Gibson (57'), Glendinning (76')
Forsythe (26'), Chambers (58')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
2-2
Portadown
Gordon (64'), Glendinning (71')
Cushley (67'), Cherry (75')
Gibson (51')
Ruddy (19'), Salley (41')
Salley (42'), Beverland (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield22153440162448
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2311392926336
3GlentoranGlentoran2210572620635
4PortadownPortadown2110472821734
5CliftonvilleCliftonville219482823531
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena21101102727031
7CrusadersCrusaders219392627-130
8ColeraineColeraine217683432227
9LarneLarne167541712526
10GlenavonGlenavon2257101930-1122
11Carrick RangersCarrick2055102030-1020
12Loughgall2234152353-3013


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