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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
3 - 2
Glentoran

Lecky (4'), Hegarty (24', 58')
Heatley (15'), Thompson (35'), Lowry (71'), (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Purkis (5'), Donnelly (51')
Devlin (58')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Glentoran.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Linfield 0-0 Crusaders
Saturday, November 26 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 0-2 Glentoran
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawGlentoran
45.56% (-0.623 -0.62) 25.96% (0.437 0.44) 28.48% (0.186 0.19)
Both teams to score 51.7% (-1.237 -1.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.77% (-1.67 -1.67)52.22% (1.671 1.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.07% (-1.458 -1.46)73.93% (1.459 1.46)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13% (-0.991 -0.99)22.87% (0.992 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-1.485 -1.49)56.62% (1.486 1.49)
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)32.97% (0.735 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.45% (-0.821 -0.82)69.55% (0.822 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 45.56%
    Glentoran 28.48%
    Draw 25.95%
CrusadersDrawGlentoran
1-0 @ 11.12% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.21% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 45.56%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 7.54% (0.488 0.49)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.37% (0.382 0.38)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.122 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 28.48%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2022 7.45pm
Glentoran
3-1
Crusaders
Donnelly (8'), McMenamin (52' pen.), Wilson (78')
Crowe (33')
Clarke (5')
Forsythe (43'), Robinson (85')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Glentoran
0-4
Crusaders

(63'), (82')
Caddell (9'), Lowry (22'), Larmour (57'), Heatley (86')
(48')
Jan 21, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
1-2
Glentoran
Robinson (12')
Lowry (18'), Tuffey (52'), Clarke (68')
Winchester (55')
McMenamin (48'), McDaid (65')
Murray (15'), Marron (63')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
0-1
Glentoran

Caddell (3'), Lecky (12'), Heatley (43'), McMurray (77')
Plum (78')
McMenamin (5'), Crowe (37')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Glentoran
0-3
Crusaders

McCarey (58'), Donnelly (84')
Lecky (9'), Kennedy (55' pen.), Wilson (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield21152440162447
2PortadownPortadown2010462819934
3GlentoranGlentoran2110472620634
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
5CliftonvilleCliftonville209472821731
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena20100102525030
7CrusadersCrusaders208392427-327
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon2147101730-1319
12Loughgall2134142251-2913


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