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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
3 - 0
Ballymena

Lowry (29'), O'Rourke (33'), Forsythe (82')
(75')
FT(HT: 2-0)

(53'), (61')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 2-1 Linfield
Friday, September 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Carrick
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 23.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawBallymena United
53.07% (-0.104 -0.1) 23.87% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 23.06% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.24% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.19% (0.075000000000003 0.08)47.81% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30% (0.068999999999999 0.07)69.99% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.03% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)17.96% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.2% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)48.8% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.9% (0.131 0.13)35.1% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.15% (0.136 0.14)71.85% (-0.13600000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 53.07%
    Ballymena United 23.06%
    Draw 23.87%
CrusadersDrawBallymena United
1-0 @ 10.82% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.29% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 53.07%
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 6.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 23.06%

Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
2-1
Ballymena
Lowry (9'), McMurray (65')
Forsythe (36')
Strain (52')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Ballymena
2-0
Crusaders
Winchester (58'), McElroy (90+1')
Winchester (43')

Larmour (20'), (88'), (90+5')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Ballymena
0-1
Crusaders
O'Rourke (13')
Joe Burns (86'), Wilson (87'), Weir (89')
Apr 2, 2021 7.30pm
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
2-1
Ballymena
McGonigle (43'), Heatley (46')
Larmour (33'), O'Rourke (85'), Heatley (90')
McCready (12')
Ervin (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield21152440162447
2PortadownPortadown2010462819934
3GlentoranGlentoran2110472620634
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
5CliftonvilleCliftonville209472821731
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena20100102525030
7CrusadersCrusaders208392427-327
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon2147101730-1319
12Loughgall2134142251-2913


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