Nations League | League C
Sep 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadionul Steaua, Bucuresti
Romania3 - 1Lithuania
Form, Standings, Stats
Nations League
Last Game: Kosovo 0-3 Romania
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Slovakia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ukraine | 3 | -2 | 4 |
We said: Romania 3-0 Lithuania
Romania were famed more for their defensive solidity under Iordanescu, but it was their attacking play that caught the eye in Pristina, and Lithuania could face a similar wrath here. The visitors slumped to a poor home defeat to open the campaign and there is nothing to suggest that they can spring a huge surprise here to lift themselves off the bottom of the standings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 47.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Romania | Draw | Lithuania |
47.58% ( -0.02) | 27.42% ( 0.01) | 24.99% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.95% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
