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Bulgaria national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 3, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Slavija
Republic of Ireland national football team

Bulgaria
1 - 1
Rep. Ireland

Kraev (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Duffy (90+3')
Stevens (22')

The Match

Match Report

The Celtic defender struck in stoppage time in Sofia.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's UEFA Nations League clash between Bulgaria and Ireland, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
BulgariaDrawRepublic of Ireland
30.13%28.13%41.74%
Both teams to score 46.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.35%59.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.03%79.97%
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.35%35.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.58%72.42%
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83%28.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.14%63.86%
Score Analysis
    Bulgaria 30.12%
    Republic of Ireland 41.74%
    Draw 28.12%
BulgariaDrawRepublic of Ireland
1-0 @ 10.35%
2-1 @ 6.77%
2-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 2.33%
3-0 @ 1.84%
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 30.12%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.12%
0-1 @ 12.72%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 8.06%
1-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 1.81%
1-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 41.74%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2019 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Rep. Ireland
3-1
Bulgaria
Browne (56'), Long (83'), Collins (86')
Collins (85')
Popov (67' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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