Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 56.25%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 22.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
56.25% ( -0.03) | 21.21% ( 0.02) | 22.53% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.68% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.65% ( -0.09) | 36.35% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.52% ( -0.1) | 58.47% ( 0.1) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.11% ( -0.04) | 12.89% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.7% ( -0.08) | 39.29% ( 0.08) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.8% ( -0.04) | 29.2% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.85% ( -0.05) | 65.14% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.39% 3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 4.01% Total : 56.25% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 22.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
> National League Full Table |