Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 63.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.