Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 69.25%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 13.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
69.25% ( 0.55) | 17.42% ( -0.07) | 13.32% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 56.2% ( -1.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.37% ( -0.89) | 34.62% ( 0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.43% ( -1) | 56.57% ( 1) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.97% ( -0.11) | 9.03% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.25% ( -0.26) | 30.74% ( 0.26) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.78% ( -1.28) | 38.22% ( 1.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.02% ( -1.25) | 74.98% ( 1.25) |
Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 8% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.8% Total : 69.25% | 1-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.42% | 1-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.86% Total : 13.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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