Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for an Altrincham win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.