Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Fylde had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Fylde win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.