Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 17.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Kidderminster Harriers win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.