National League South | Gameweek 28
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium
Dover Athletic1 - 2Ebbsfleet
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Ebbsfleet.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-0 Taunton Town
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-1 Weymouth
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
Result | ||
Dover Athletic | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
20.73% ( 0.01) | 23.07% ( 0) | 56.21% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.93% ( -0.01) | 47.07% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.69% ( -0.01) | 69.31% ( 0) |
Dover Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.08% ( 0.01) | 36.92% ( -0.01) |