National League South | Gameweek 24
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Chelmsford City2 - 0Torquay Utd
Jenkins (3'), Barbrook (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Torquay United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Albans City 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-2 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
41
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Torquay United |
42.73% ( -0.11) | 24.87% ( 0.09) | 32.39% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.25% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
