National League North | Gameweek 22
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tameside Stadium
Curzon Ashton2 - 1Alfreton
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Alfreton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-3 Buxton
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
41
Last Game: Alfreton 0-0 Tamworth
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
50
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Alfreton Town |
43.68% ( 0.02) | 26.36% ( -0.01) | 29.96% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.29% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
