National League North | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena
Alfreton1 - 1Warrington Town
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Warrington Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-3 Alfreton
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-0 King's Lynn
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
11
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Warrington Town had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Warrington Town win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alfreton Town | Draw | Warrington Town |
37.54% ( -0.44) | 25.99% ( 0.21) | 36.47% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 54.27% ( -0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.88% ( -0.92) | 50.12% ( 0.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.91% ( -0.82) | 72.09% ( 0.82) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.97% ( -0.67) | 26.02% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.94% ( -0.9) | 61.05% ( 0.9) |
Warrington Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.36% ( -0.3) | 26.63% ( 0.3) |