Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.