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Orlando City
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 8
May 23, 2021 at 12am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
Toronto FC

Orlando City
1 - 0
Toronto

Akindele (12')
Akindele (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Soteldo (21'), Auro (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawToronto
45.4%23.88%30.71%
Both teams to score 59.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93%42.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.52%64.48%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.24%18.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.85%50.15%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75%26.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.64%61.36%
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 45.4%
    Toronto 30.71%
    Draw 23.88%
Orlando CityDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.22%
1-0 @ 8.24%
2-0 @ 6.9%
3-1 @ 5.15%
3-0 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 45.4%
1-1 @ 11.02%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 7.37%
0-1 @ 6.59%
0-2 @ 4.4%
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 1.96%
1-4 @ 1.1%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 30.71%

Head to Head
Sep 27, 2020 12am
Jul 5, 2020 12.30am
Aug 11, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 30
Toronto
1-1
Orlando City
Mullins (77')
Delgado (34')
Michel (69')
Sane (82')
May 4, 2019 9pm
Gameweek 11
Orlando City
0-2
Toronto
Osorio (65'), Chapman (77')
Jul 15, 2018 1am
Gameweek 23
Orlando City
2-1
Toronto
Schuler (34'), Dwyer (48')
Schuler (6')
Hagglund (94')
Chapman (55'), Bradley (67'), Zavaleta (82')
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