Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | CF Montreal | 15 | 3 | 23 |
4 | New England Revolution | 15 | 0 | 20 |
5 | Houston Dynamo | 15 | -1 | 18 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Colorado Rapids | 14 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Minnesota United | 14 | 0 | 18 |
8 | Houston Dynamo | 15 | -3 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 17.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | Minnesota United |
60.6% ( -0.66) | 21.63% ( 0.3) | 17.77% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 52.17% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.85% ( -0.67) | 45.15% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.5% ( -0.64) | 67.5% ( 0.64) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.56% ( -0.42) | 14.44% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.61% ( -0.83) | 42.39% ( 0.83) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.98% ( 0.05) | 39.02% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.25% ( 0.04) | 75.75% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | Minnesota United |
1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 60.6% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.63% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 17.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |