Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 50.85%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.