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Lille
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Strasbourg
Toulouse
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Feb 27, 2022 at 4.05pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Marseille

Troyes
1 - 1
Marseille

Touzghar (90')
Balde (27'), Tardieu (36'), Rami (36'), Conte (49'), Biancone (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Payet (28' pen.)
Rongier (11'), Payet (55'), Lopez (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Troyes 0-3 Marseille

After a minor blip at the Orange Velodrome, Marseille responded in perfect fashion in midweek and should have no problem replicating such a performance against a leaky Troyes backline. Sampaoli may be forced into some alterations after the long journey back from Baku, but with an enviable array of talent on the bench ready and waiting, a Troyes side low on confidence ought to be humbled. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
TroyesDrawMarseille
27.34%25.73%46.93%
Both teams to score 51.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.03%51.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29%73.71%
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27%33.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.62%70.38%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.86%22.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.48%55.51%
Score Analysis
    Troyes 27.34%
    Marseille 46.93%
    Draw 25.72%
TroyesDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 8.11%
2-1 @ 6.65%
2-0 @ 4.41%
3-1 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 1.82%
3-0 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 27.34%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 7.47%
2-2 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 11.25%
1-2 @ 9.23%
0-2 @ 8.49%
1-3 @ 4.64%
0-3 @ 4.27%
2-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.61%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 46.93%

How you voted: Troyes vs Marseille

Troyes
2.4%
Draw
14.3%
Marseille
83.3%
42
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Marseille
1-0
Troyes
Lirola (74')
Gueye (16')

Salmier (10'), Tardieu (17'), Kone (43'), Rodrigues (59')
Apr 15, 2018 4pm
Troyes
2-3
Marseille
Grandsir (1'), Nivet (49')
Giraudon (27'), Zalazny (75')
N'Jie (11'), Mitroglou (75'), Thauvin (85')
Rami (45'), Payet (59'), Thauvin (66')
Dec 20, 2017 7.50pm
Marseille
3-1
Troyes
Payet (31'), Gustavo (66'), Germain (84')
Thauvin (54')
Pele (14')
May 14, 2016 8pm
Aug 23, 2015 8pm
Marseille
6-0
Troyes
Barrada (19'), Diarra (47'), Batshuayi (56', 90'), Ocampos (63'), Alessandrini (87')
Lemina (28')

Perea (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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