Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Clermont |
40.1% | 27.46% | 32.44% |
Both teams to score 48.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.38% | 56.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.41% | 77.59% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.36% | 27.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.82% | 63.18% |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.62% | 32.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.1% | 68.9% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 8.34% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.09% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 54 | 19 | 35 | 50 |
2 | Marseille | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 40 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 37 |
4 | Lille | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 35 |
5 | Nice | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 34 |
6 | Lens | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 |
7 | Lyon | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 26 |
11 | Auxerre | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 23 |
12 | Angers | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
13 | Reims | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 21 |
15 | Rennes | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 20 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 18 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 14 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |