Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 49.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
49.83% | 25.72% | 24.45% |
Both teams to score 49.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.03% | 53.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.59% | 75.41% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.31% | 21.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.17% | 54.83% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.75% | 37.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.97% | 74.03% |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 12.34% 2-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-0 @ 4.81% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.18% Total : 49.82% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |