Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
