Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 52.72%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.